College Football Weather, Betting Odds: Windy Forecasts for 6 Games, Including Baylor vs. Texas Tech (Saturday, Nov. 14)

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It’s not much of a secret that weather can affect the outcome of a football game. And as such, it shouldn’t come as a surprise that oddsmakers often shift lines on account of game conditions.

However, what might not be as well known is just how much weather — and in particular, wind — matters. Thankfully, we have a database that can tell us exactly that.

Since 2005, college football games played in winds of 13+ mph have hit the under at a 56.5% rate on a sample of more than 1,000 games (558-430-34).

And while it diminishes the sample, bumping the threshold up to 17+ mph, accordingly, increases the win rate to 59.1%. Pushing up to 20+ mph games returns a 64.5% clip.

And considering those are win rates that would make any professional bettor happy, you might be curious as to which of Saturday’s games fit the bill. So, let’s take a look.

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College Football Windy Weather Forecasts

Odds, forecasts as of 11 p.m. ET Friday.

Penn State vs. Nebraska

12 p.m. ET | FS1 | Lincoln, Neb.

  • Projected wind speeds: 12 to 14 mph
  • O/U open to current: 55.5 to 56.5

South Alabama vs. Louisiana

2 p.m. ET | ESPN+ | Lafayette, La.

  • Projected wind speeds: 13 to 14 mph
  • O/U open to current: 53.5 to 53.5

Baylor vs. Texas Tech

4 p.m. ET | FS1 | Lubbock, Texas

  • Projected wind speeds: 19 to 25 mph
  • O/U open to current: 59.5 to 56

Northwestern vs. Purdue

5 p.m. ET | BTN | West Lafayette, Ill.

  • Projected wind speeds: 16 to 19 mph
  • O/U open to current: 49 to 49.5

SMU vs. Tulsa

7 p.m. ET | ESPN2 | Tulsa, Okla.

  • Projected wind speeds: 14 to 17 mph
  • O/U open to current: 63 to 64.5

Wisconsin vs. Michigan

7:30 p.m. ET | ABC | Ann Arbor, Mich.

  • Projected wind speeds: 13 to 17 mph
  • O/U open to current: 50.5 to 52.5

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nguồn: Action Network https://www.actionnetwork.com/ncaaf/college-football-weather-betting-odds-wind-forecast-texas-tech-vs-baylor-saturday-november-14
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